Monday, June 2, 2008

Here are the stats

Barack - the next president of the united states- has 1741 pledged delegates and 329 superdelegates for a grand total of 2070

Hillary Clinton - the next female member of the supreme court - has 1624 pledged and 291 supers for a total of 1915.

The DNC rules committee made a decision on Saturday to seat the FL and MI delegations but give them each half a vote. So the total needed to be nominated is 2118.

The superdelegates are moving Baracks way.

Newsfutures - the betting pool place - now has Barack Obama has 97% sure to win and HC has only a 5% chance of winning. . In the general election the bet is that the Democrat is 59% sure to win.

The electoral college estimates - based on opinion polling - now have Obama with 276 ecv and McCain with 238 ecv and 24 ties. 270 votes are needed to win it.

Puerto Rico vote split delegates: 37 for Hillary and 18 for Obama. South Dakota and Montana have only 31 between the two of them. So it's still down to the supers. And I think the DNC told Hillary on Saturday that they were not going to go with her argument about winability. Look for the superdelegates to declare en masse after Tuesday.



PS to Hannah. Allen Friedman is operating on Ted Kennedy today.

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